Home Run Derby Odds & Picks

Home Run Derby Odds & Picks

The 2017 MLB All-Star Game takes place this Tuesday, July 11 at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida. After taking the HR crown last year, Miami’s top home run hitter, Giancarlo Stanton, is the favorite to win the Home Run Derby on Monday during All-Star Game Festivities. Is Giancarlo a good bet at +120? Or is Aaron Judge the smart bet? Keep reading to find out.

Home Run Derby Odds & Picks

  • Giancarlo Stanton +120
  • Aaron Judge +165
  • Cody Bellinger +900
  • Mike Moustakas +1400
  • Charlie Blackmon +1400
  • Miguel Sano +1400
  • Justin Bour +1600
  • Gary Sanchez +2000

What: 2017 Home Run Derby
When: Monday, July 10th, 2017
Start Time: 8:00 PM ET  
Where: Miami, Florida
Stadium: Marlins Park
Watch: ESPN

The Favorite To Win The Home Run Derby: Giancarlo Stanton +120

Last season, Stanton hit the most dingers in the Home Run Derby. It was his first Home Run Derby victory. Since Stanton gets to launch homers at the plate he’s most comfortable standing at, it makes sense why his odds are so low. Stanton should have this in the bag, right?

Maybe not. Giancarlo has hit 23 home runs this season. He doesn’t lead MLB in home runs even though he has more at-bats, 311, than any of the 5 players ahead of him that have hit more home runs than he has. At the odds, he’s a play against. 

The Smart Bet To Win The Home Run Derby:  Aaron Judge +165

New York’s 2017 breakout star leads MLB in home runs. He has a crazy 29 on the season. Judge also has 65 RBIs and a .331 batting average. The .331 batting average is what impresses me. Not only can Judge hit for power, he can also hit for average. That’s rare. Mike Trout and Bryce Harper are the only other 2 players that I believe can do that.

Judge can hit home runs out of any park. At 6’ 7”, 280 lbs, he’s big enough to get contact on pitches outside of the strike zone. He’s powerful enough to drive those balls wherever he wants them to go. It’s hard for me to see Judge not winning the Home Run Derby on Monday.  

The Longshot Pick To Win The Home Run Derby:  Mike Moustakas +1400

Moose has 25 home runs this season. He’s tied with George Springer for second place on the home runs list. What I like about Moustakas is he’s been hot in recent games. From his last 10, Moustakas has 6 home runs. He hit a home run at Detroit on June 28. On June 30, he hit a home run versus Minnesota. The next day versus the Twins, Moustakas hit another home run.

Moustakas hit 3 home runs, one each day, from July 3 through July 5. He’s hot. Don’t look it past Moustakas to go yard time and again on July 10. I think he’s worth a look at 14 to 1 odds.